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Notre Dame 10 Point Underdogs At Home

Notre Dame is getting 10 points at home against 3-0 Michigan State Spartans.  Notre Dame, 0-3, has yet to score an offensive touchdown.  The upcoming schedule for the Fighting Irish becomes ridiculously difficult after today’s game, with games against Purdue, UCLA, Boston College, and USC in the next 4 weeks.   If they don’t win today, the Irish may have to wait until Navy, Air Force, or Duke in November for their first win.  I’m backing the Irish at home.  Michigan State isn’t exactly a college football juggernaut, having beaten some lower level talent in the last 3 weeks.  Hopefully Notre Dame can keep it close.   Notre Dame +10.

Written by Jon on September 22nd, 2007 with no comments.
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College Football Top 25 Matchups

There are three top 25 games on tap for today. Here they are, along with the current lines:

To monitor these odds and others throughout the day, check out:

Written by Jon on September 15th, 2007 with no comments.
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Michigan Favored By 9 Over Notre Dame

Perennial powerhouses Notre Dame and Michigan meet today in the Big House to see which team is actually worse.  Both teams come into play with a record of 0-2, leaving their fans and players embarrassed, and respective coaches on the hot seat.  Michigan  has lost to  Appalachian State (how pathetic) and Oregon - both at home.  Notre Dame has lost to Georgia Tech by 30 (at home) and Penn State by 21 (on the road).  In assessing this matchup, Notre Dame has no rushing game to speak of.  Michigan, behind Mike Hart, has a rushing game, but no passing game to speak of.  Notre Dame has not shown the ability to stop the rush.  Michigan is favored by 9 points and the total is running at 44 points.  I think Michigan wins this game big and gives the Wolverines fans something to cheer about in a season marred by disappointment.  Charlie Weis, in my opinion, will be back in the NFL in a few years.

Written by Jon on September 15th, 2007 with no comments.
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Miami vs Oklahoma and Other Key Matchups

The Oklahoma Sooners are running at 11 point favorites over the visiting Miami Hurricanes. The Sooners are coming off a 79-10 blowout against North Texas. Meanwhile, the Hurricanes are coming off a 30-3 victory over Marshall. If Miami is to make this game competitive, their quarterback is going to have to step up. Kirby Freeman, the third year junior, was only 9 for 21, 81 yards, with 1 TD and 1 INT against the not-so-vaunted Marshall defense. Miami is running at +450 on the moneyline if you are so inclined. I, however, like Oklahoma -11 at home. Randy Shannon may be cleaning up the program at Miami, but I am not sure they are talented enough to hang with the big boys.

Other key matchups today include:

Written by Jon on September 8th, 2007 with no comments.
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Idaho 46 1/2 Point Underdogs at USC

Can USC cover a whopping 46 1/2 point spread? That is about the only question that will be answered as the Idaho Vandals head to Los Angeles to face the No. 1 ranked USC Trojans. USC will win this game. That is about as undeniable as Charlie Weis’ weight problem. The question, and really the only source of drama will surround USC’s ability to outscore Idaho by a huge spread, 46 1/2 points (7 touchdown’s and 2 field goal’s). Consider that USC has a record of 59-6 in the past 5 seasons, while Idaho went 14-45 over that same period. USC will start a Heisman Trophy candidate in quarterback John David Booty, while Idaho will start a redshirt freshman who has never played a college game. USC has won 34 straight home games and will be playing in front of 90,000 raucous fans. Idaho is used to playing in front of 19,000 empty seats. I expect USC to score at will on both offense and defense and easily cover the spread. It will be akin to a WNBA team playing against an NBA team - except without the lesbians.

Written by Jon on September 1st, 2007 with 2535 comments.
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BCS Championship Game

The QB of Florida, Chris Leak, scares me with his tendency to throw the pick at an inopportune time.  I think Ohio State will run away with this game in the 4th quarter and cover the 7 point spread.

Sports Gambling Blog Pick:
2 units on Ohio State -7 (against Florida in BCS CHAMPIONSHIP GAME)

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Written by Jon on January 8th, 2007 with no comments.
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MPC Computers Bowl: Miami a steal

The Miami Hurricanes face the Nevada Wolf Pack in the MPC Computer Bowl in Boise, Idaho.  The Hurricanes, in Coach Coker’s final game, are only favored by 3 points.  I think the linesmakers have greatly over-estimated Nevada’s talents and have unfairly beaten down Miami.  Nevada puts up 30.9 points a game, ranked 19th in the nation.  Unfortunately, they play a bunch of chumps throughout the season, including La. State and Utah State.  Their numbers are greatly inflated due to ease of schedule.  Against good defensive squads, such as Boise State in their last game, they were only able to score 7 points (on defense) in a 38-7 loss.  The Hurricanes have a great defense.  They allow only 15.1 points per game (ranked 14th nationally) and rank 3rd overall in stopping the run.  The Hurricanes have played six top-25 teams this season.  They are 1-5 in these games.  Four of these losses, however, were by the margin of a TD or less.   Miami is a far superior team and I can’t even see how Nevada will even be competitive in this game.

Sports Gambling Blog Pick:
2 units on Miami Hurricanes -3 (against Nevada in MPC COMPUTERS BOWL)

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Written by Jon on December 31st, 2006 with no comments.
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Champs Sports Bowl: Purdue vs Maryland

This is an extremely tough matchup to predict.  The Purdue Boilermakers have the 5th worst passing defense and 4th worst rushing defense in the league.  Purdue basically can’t stop anyone on defense.  They do, however, have the 5th best passing game in the nation.  Maryland ranks near the middle of the pack on offense and towards the lower third on defense.  Looking further into the Maryland defense, I notice that the Terrapins have only given up 13 passing TD’s in 12 games.  Therefore, they should be able to neutralize the Purdue passing game (their strong suit) and exploit the terrible Boilermaker defense.  Purdue’s running game is average at best and should not be a problem for Maryland.  The Terrapins have played a total of 5 top-20 teams (1-4), while Purdue is 0-4 against top 20 opponents.  Maryland has had more quality wins this season and is the better team in my opinion.

Sports Gambling Blog Pick:
2 units on Maryland Terrapins +1 (against Purdue in CHAMPS SPORTS BOWL)

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Written by Jon on December 29th, 2006 with no comments.
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Independence Bowl: Oklahoma State vs Alabama

The Oklahoma State Cowboys and Alabama Crimson Tide will square off in Shreveport, La. in a battle of the Big 12 vs the SEC.  Both teams are 6-6 and have lost some close games throughout the season.  Alabama has not beaten many quality teams this season, though they have played a number of ranked squads.  Overall, the Crimson Tide have lost 3 in a row and are still searching for a new coach.  Oklahoma State, similarly, has not had many big wins this season and come into this game having dropped 2 in a row.  Alabama is the better defensive team, ranked 37th nationally against the run.  They will square off against a Cowboys rushing and scoring offense that ranks 8th nationally.  Oklahoma State is not a great defensive squad, but then again, neither is the Alabama offense, currently ranked 60th nationwide.  Overall, Oklahoma State’s power ranking is 46, while Alabama’s power ranking sits at 52.  I like Oklahoma State by 1 1/2.

Sports Gambling Blog Pick:
2 units on Oklahoma State -1 1/2 (against Alabama in INDEPENDENCE BOWL)

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Written by Jon on December 28th, 2006 with no comments.
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Prediction: Florida Gators -2 1/2

As the SEC Championship game nears, I am fairly confident that the Florida Gators will prevail in convincing fashion over the Arkansas Razorbacks.  Florida QB Chris Leak will be highly motivated to win an SEC title in his final opportunity.  The key for Florida will be stopping Darren McFadden, the great running back for Arkansas.  LSU couldn’t stop him last week, but were still able to squeak out a win by 5 on the road.  That is because Arkansas QB Casey Dick was absolutely awful.  I don’t see much improvement out of Dick and don’t see this game being very competitive.

Sports Gambling Blog Pick:
FLORIDA GATORS -2 1/2 (Wager=3 UNITS)

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Written by Jon on December 2nd, 2006 with no comments.
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