September 16th, 2007
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This is the game everyone has been waiting for! Fresh off their videotape spying incident, the New England Patriots look to improve to 2-0 as they face the 1-0 San Diego Chargers at home. The Patriots are 3 point favorites in a re-match of last season’s playoff matchup. In that playoff game, NE came from behind and won in improbable fashion as San Diego absolutely choked the game away. In the offseason, New England added key offensive players and look to be legitimate Super Bowl contenders. San Diego, meanwhile, still a Super Bowl contender, has remained relatively unchanged from last season. They are coming off a win at home against Chicago, but were not overly impressive. If the game were in San Diego, I’d give the Chargers the nod, but this game is in New England. The Patriots have too much firepower. Until San Diego proves they can win a big game, I’ll have to fade them in these situations. New England -3.
Written by Jon on September 16th, 2007 with no comments.
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The New Orleans Saints were shelled by the Indianapolis Colts 41-10 in their opening game. Despite the result of that game, there were two positives to take away from that game: (1) they already played the best team in the NFL - it only gets easier from here and (2) they received two extra days of rest thanks to playing on Thursday. The Saints travel to Tampa Bay this afternoon, where they are 4 point favorites against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. If the game last week against Indy had been closer, this line would certainly be much greater than a measly 4 points. I still believe New Orleans is a playoff team and the line “appears” very low here. Tampa Bay hasn’t proven anything yet and showed nothing in last week’s 14 point loss to Seattle. Look for a Saints bounce-back this week and take New Orleans -4.
Written by Jon on September 16th, 2007 with no comments.
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It’s a big secret. Will Eli Manning start for the NY Giants today or will he be deactivated? Initial reports indicated Manning will be out a month due to a shoulder injury suffered in last week’s game against the Cowboys. Just as soon as those reports hit the newswires, the Giants denied the reports and claimed Manning was merely day-to-day. The 0-1 Giants are favored by 2 1/2 points at home against the 1-0 Green Bay Packers. The total is set at 38 points. If Eli Manning does not play this game for NY, there is virtually no chance of Big Blue winning this game. The Giants backup, Jared Lorenzen, aptly nicknamed the “Hefty Lefty,” has attempted less than 5 passes in his NFL career. He is quite large and immobile - probably a sack waiting to happen. The Giants will also play without starting running back Brandon Jacobs. Instead, Jets reject, Derrick Ward will get the start this afternoon. The Giants defense was atrocious against Dallas last week. The secondary was burned on every big play and the linebackers non-existent. Tony Romo passed for more yards per completion against the Giants tissue-paper defense than any other quarterback in over 30 years. The 38 points is a gift. Due to the uncertain nature of Eli’s status and the inherent risk of a 2 1/2 point line, I would tease this game to Green Bay +8 1/2 and over 32, with the juice at the standard -110. Good luck!
Written by Jon on September 16th, 2007 with 3 comments.
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